Al Shorta 3-2 Newroz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 25 Sep 2025

📅25/09/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
16%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.09
No
47%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
26%
X/2
3%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
61%
-1.5pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.6pp
16%
Away Win
16%
-0.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
44%
+9.2pp
47%
BTTS No
56%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shorta EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Newroz EU Bookmakers 19%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
2.27/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.44/1.96
+49% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -32%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
322 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shorta
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Newroz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
03.05.2025 Newroz 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Shorta Al Shorta IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Shorta vs Newroz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shorta squeezed past Newroz 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Shorta as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Al Shorta vs Newroz?

Al Shorta 3-2 Newroz in the Iraq - Premier League on 25/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shorta vs Newroz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shorta win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Al Shorta 59%, draw 25%, Newroz 16%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shorta), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Shorta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
IRAK More Iraq - Premier League
25 Sep 2025
18:00 Diala vs Zakho Analysis →
18:00 Naft vs Al Talaba Analysis →