Al Shabab Riyadh 1-2 Al Kholood — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 25 Sep 2025

📅25/09/2025 · 🕒18:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
17%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.07
Over 2.5
60%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.7
No
41%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.78
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
2.95
6+ Goals
13%
9.37
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.95 — our 28% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
14%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
57%
+4.1pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.6pp
17%
Away Win
20%
-2.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
44%
-4.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
56%
+4.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
55%
+4.0pp
41%
BTTS No
45%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Kholood EU Bookmakers 23%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.59/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.13
+3% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 78%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
21.1 Crosses 10.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Kholood
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.37 xG 0.75
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
408 Passes 267
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
10.04.2025 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Kholood Al Kholood SUUD
07.11.2024 Al Kholood Al Kholood 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
24.09.2024 Al Kholood Al Kholood 1-3 HT 1-1 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SAKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh
1-2
AWAY Al Kholood
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
12 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
320 Passes 249
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 23
POST-MATCH Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Kholood
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Kholood squeezed past Al Shabab Riyadh 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Shabab Riyadh at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Al Shabab Riyadh had 56% of the ball to Al Kholood's 44%, shots finished 17-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Shabab Riyadh had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Al Shabab Riyadh and 0.33 for Al Kholood.

What was the final score of Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Kholood?

Al Shabab Riyadh 1-2 Al Kholood in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 25/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Kholood?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shabab Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab Riyadh 61%, draw 22%, Al Kholood 17%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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