Racing Club Montevideo 4-1 Universitario de Salto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay Cup, 25 Sep 2025

📅25/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-5.0pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.2pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.9pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitario de Salto EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
4-1
AWAY Universitario de Salto
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Racing Club Montevideo vs Universitario de Salto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club Montevideo swept aside Universitario de Salto 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Racing Club Montevideo as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Racing Club Montevideo had 48% of the ball to Universitario de Salto's 52%, shots finished 11-8.

What was the final score of Racing Club Montevideo vs Universitario de Salto?

Racing Club Montevideo 4-1 Universitario de Salto in the Uruguay Cup on 25/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Club Montevideo vs Universitario de Salto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Club Montevideo win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Racing Club Montevideo 56%, draw 22%, Universitario de Salto 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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