Tacuarembo vs CA Penarol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tacuarembo v CA Penarol — Team-Based Signals
Tacuarembo vs CA Penarol Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
CA Penarol
URU
2-0
HT 1-0
Tacuarembo
URU
Tacuarembo 1-2 CA Penarol — Actual Match Statistics
CA Penarol edged past Tacuarembo 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Tacuarembo had 35% of the ball to CA Penarol's 65%, shots finished 8-13.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, CA Penarol led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tacuarembo and 1.50 for CA Penarol.
What was the final score of Tacuarembo vs CA Penarol?
Tacuarembo 1-2 CA Penarol in the Uruguay Cup on 25/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tacuarembo vs CA Penarol?
Before kick-off our model rated an CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Tacuarembo 20%, draw 26%, CA Penarol 54%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.