Udinese 2-0 Cagliari — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 25 Oct 2024

Udinese
2-0 HT 1-0
Cagliari
📅25/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Udinese vs Cagliari Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.87
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.06
6+ Goals
9%
19.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.04
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
13%
12.5
X/1
12%
4.79
X/2
11%
6.97
X/X
12%
4.0
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
10%
5.21
2/X
8%
13.0
Value flag · 1/X at 12.5 — our 13% vs market 5.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.4pp
34%
Draw
29%
+4.4pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Udinese v Cagliari — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Udinese EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Cagliari EU Bookmakers 31%
-9% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
1.50/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.56
-16% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
18.8 Crosses 21.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5

Udinese vs Cagliari Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Udinese
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cagliari
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.44 xG 1.23
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
384 Passes 387
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.02.2024 Udinese Udinese 1-1 HT 1-1 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
01.11.2023 Udinese Udinese 1-2 HT 0-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTK
17.09.2023 Cagliari Cagliari 0-0 HT 0-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
03.04.2022 Udinese Udinese 5-1 HT 2-1 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
18.12.2021 Cagliari Cagliari 0-4 HT 0-2 Udinese Udinese İTA
21.04.2021 Udinese Udinese 0-1 HT 0-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA

Udinese 2-0 Cagliari — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Udinese
2-0
AWAY Cagliari
1.03 xG 0.43
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 4
484 Passes 235
91% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 3
17 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Udinese vs Cagliari
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Udinese saw off Cagliari 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 34% / 27%) promised a tight game; Udinese found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Udinese had 64% of the ball to Cagliari's 36%, shots finished 13-3, expected goals 1.03 to 0.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Udinese and 0.83 for Cagliari.

What was the final score of Udinese vs Cagliari?

Udinese 2-0 Cagliari in the Italy - Serie A on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Udinese vs Cagliari?

Before kick-off our model rated a Udinese win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Udinese 39%, draw 34%, Cagliari 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Udinese), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Udinese) ✓ Under 2.5
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