Udinese 1-1 Cagliari — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.97
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.84
6+ Goals
10%
17.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.44
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
8%
14.0
X/1
17%
4.08
X/2
12%
8.18
X/X
9%
4.47
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
8%
6.48
2/X
6%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-1.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+4.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Udinese EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Cagliari EU Bookmakers 27%
-8% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
1.73/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.66
-1% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
18.7 Crosses 21.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Udinese
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cagliari
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.52 xG 1.30
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
384 Passes 401
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2023 Udinese Udinese 1-2 HT 0-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTK
17.09.2023 Cagliari Cagliari 0-0 HT 0-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
03.04.2022 Udinese Udinese 5-1 HT 2-1 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
18.12.2021 Cagliari Cagliari 0-4 HT 0-2 Udinese Udinese İTA
21.04.2021 Udinese Udinese 0-1 HT 0-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
20.12.2020 Cagliari Cagliari 1-1 HT 1-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Udinese
1-1
AWAY Cagliari
0.99 xG 0.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
365 Passes 321
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 11
26 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Udinese vs Cagliari
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Udinese and Cagliari shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Udinese at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Udinese had 52% of the ball to Cagliari's 48%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 0.99 to 0.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Udinese and 0.83 for Cagliari.

What was the final score of Udinese vs Cagliari?

Udinese 1-1 Cagliari in the Italy - Serie A on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Udinese vs Cagliari?

Before kick-off our model rated a Udinese win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Udinese 49%, draw 23%, Cagliari 28%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Udinese) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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