Lazio vs Bologna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lazio v Bologna — Team-Based Signals
Lazio vs Bologna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Lazio
İTA
0-0
HT 0-0
Lazio
İTA
1-0
HT 1-0
Bologna
İTK
2-1
HT 0-1
Bologna
İTA
3-0
HT 1-0
Bologna
İTA
3-0
HT 2-0
Lazio
İTA
Lazio 1-2 Bologna — Actual Match Statistics
Bologna nicked a narrow win over Lazio 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Lazio at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Lazio had 44% of the ball to Bologna's 56%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.12 to 1.39.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lazio had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lazio and 0.83 for Bologna.
What was the final score of Lazio vs Bologna?
Lazio 1-2 Bologna in the Italy - Serie A on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lazio vs Bologna?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lazio win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Lazio 46%, draw 28%, Bologna 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.