Empoli vs Fiorentina Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Empoli v Fiorentina — Team-Based Signals
Empoli vs Fiorentina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Empoli
İTA
1-1
HT 0-1
Empoli
İTA
0-0
HT 0-0
Fiorentina
İTA
1-0
HT 0-0
Empoli
İTA
2-1
HT 0-0
Fiorentina
İTA
1-0
HT 0-0
Fiorentina
İTA
Empoli 1-1 Fiorentina — Actual Match Statistics
Empoli and Fiorentina shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Fiorentina at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Empoli had 39% of the ball to Fiorentina's 61%, shots finished 5-9, expected goals 1.03 to 0.73.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Empoli had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Empoli and 0.50 for Fiorentina.
What was the final score of Empoli vs Fiorentina?
Empoli 1-1 Fiorentina in the Italy - Serie A on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Empoli vs Fiorentina?
Before kick-off our model rated an Fiorentina win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Empoli 34%, draw 24%, Fiorentina 42%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.