Spezia 0-0 FC Bari 1908 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 25 Oct 2024

Spezia
0-0 HT 0-0
FC Bari 1908
📅25/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Spezia vs FC Bari 1908 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.71
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.33
6+ Goals
9%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.73
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.65
X/1
15%
4.31
X/2
6%
7.59
X/X
12%
4.06
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
18%
6.08
2/X
5%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.5pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Spezia v FC Bari 1908 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spezia EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 28%
+3% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -5%
1.59/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.31
+2% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +31%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
24.4 Crosses 16.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7

Spezia vs FC Bari 1908 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spezia
3W-3D-0L
AWAY FC Bari 1908
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.84 xG 0.51
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
294 Passes 330
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
03.03.2024 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-1 HT 0-0 Spezia Spezia İTB
15.12.2023 Spezia Spezia 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
13.03.2018 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-1 HT 0-1 Spezia Spezia İTB
30.09.2017 Spezia Spezia 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
08.04.2017 Spezia Spezia 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
13.11.2016 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-1 HT 1-0 Spezia Spezia İTB

Spezia 0-0 FC Bari 1908 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spezia
0-0
AWAY FC Bari 1908
1.27 xG 0.10
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 1
351 Passes 218
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 8
37 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Spezia vs FC Bari 1908
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spezia and FC Bari 1908 played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Spezia at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Spezia had 59% of the ball to FC Bari 1908's 41%, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 1.27 to 0.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spezia had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Spezia and 0.50 for FC Bari 1908.

What was the final score of Spezia vs FC Bari 1908?

Spezia 0-0 FC Bari 1908 in the Italy - Serie B on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spezia vs FC Bari 1908?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spezia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Spezia 44%, draw 27%, FC Bari 1908 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Spezia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spezia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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