Mainz 05 1-1 Mönchengladbach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 25 Oct 2024

Mainz 05
1 - 1 HT 0 - 0
Mönchengladbach
📅25/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Mainz 05 vs Mönchengladbach Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
2.23
Over Pick
61%
1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.5
No
39%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
18%
4.66
2-3
43%
1.91
4-5
29%
2.86
6+
10%
8.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.01
1/2
3%
28.0
1/X
6%
12.75
X/1
14%
5.21
X/2
12%
6.47
X/X
14%
5.51
2/1 ✗
4%
23.15
2/2
19%
4.06
2/X
5%
12.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.15 — our 4% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Mainz 05 v Mönchengladbach — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Mainz 05 The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mönchengladbach The Market 37%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.24 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.76
1.28 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.86
Bad Attack Strength Strong
Strong Defense Strength Weak
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 80%
25 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2

Mainz 05 vs Mönchengladbach Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mainz 05
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Mönchengladbach
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.22 xG 1.46
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
296 Passes 417
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.03.2024 Mainz 05 Mainz 05 1-1 HT 1-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
06.10.2023 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 2-2 HT 1-1 Mainz 05 Mainz 05 AL1
24.02.2023 Mainz 05 Mainz 05 4-0 HT 1-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
04.09.2022 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 0-1 HT 0-0 Mainz 05 Mainz 05 AL1
03.04.2022 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 1-1 HT 1-0 Mainz 05 Mainz 05 AL1
05.11.2021 Mainz 05 Mainz 05 1-1 HT 0-1 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1

Mainz 05 1-1 Mönchengladbach — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mainz 05
1 - 1
AWAY Mönchengladbach
1.68 xG 0.72
52% Ball Possession 48%
23 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
383 Passes 343
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
43 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Mainz 05 vs Mönchengladbach
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Mainz 05 and Mönchengladbach shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Mainz 05 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

Under the surface, possession split 52% to 48% in Mainz 05's favour, shots finished 23-9, expected goals 1.68 to 0.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mainz 05 had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Mainz 05 against 0.83 for Mönchengladbach.

Mainz 05 vs Mönchengladbach Result & Final Score

Mainz 05 1 - 1 Mönchengladbach in the Germany - Bundesliga on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Mainz 05 vs Mönchengladbach Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Mainz 05 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 41%, draw 25%, Mönchengladbach 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mainz 05), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mainz 05) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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