Mainz 05 vs Mönchengladbach Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mainz 05 v Mönchengladbach — Team-Based Signals
Mainz 05 vs Mönchengladbach Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Mainz 05
AL1
4-0
HT 1-0
Mönchengladbach
AL1
0-1
HT 0-0
Mainz 05
AL1
1-1
HT 1-0
Mainz 05
AL1
1-1
HT 0-1
Mönchengladbach
AL1
1-2
HT 1-1
Mainz 05
AL1
Mainz 05 1-1 Mönchengladbach — Actual Match Statistics
Mainz 05 and Mönchengladbach shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Mainz 05 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Mainz 05 had 44% of the ball to Mönchengladbach's 56%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 0.98 to 1.02.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mainz 05 had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Mainz 05 and 0.83 for Mönchengladbach.
What was the final score of Mainz 05 vs Mönchengladbach?
Mainz 05 1-1 Mönchengladbach in the Germany - Bundesliga on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mainz 05 vs Mönchengladbach?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mainz 05 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 46%, draw 27%, Mönchengladbach 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mainz 05), BTTS No went the other way.