Heidenheim 1-2 Eintracht Frankfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.35
2-3 Goals
45%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.53
6+ Goals
12%
13.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.12
1/2
5%
27.5
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
12%
6.04
X/2
14%
5.26
X/X
7%
4.51
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
31.0
2/2
22%
3.4
2/X
10%
12.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 31.0 — our 12% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.8pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.6pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+2.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.2pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heidenheim EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -13%
1.46/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.35
+3% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 78%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
20.9 Crosses 18.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heidenheim
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.16 xG 1.86
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
298 Passes 546
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 38
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 2-0 HT 1-0 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL1
20.12.2017 Heidenheim Heidenheim 1-2 HT 0-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heidenheim
1-2
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt
1.01 xG 1.16
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
335 Passes 234
76% Pass Accuracy 68%
21 Box Touches 13
29 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Heidenheim vs Eintracht Frankfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eintracht Frankfurt squeezed past Heidenheim 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Eintracht Frankfurt as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Heidenheim had 58% of the ball to Eintracht Frankfurt's 42%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.01 to 1.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Eintracht Frankfurt led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Heidenheim and 2.00 for Eintracht Frankfurt.

What was the final score of Heidenheim vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Heidenheim 1-2 Eintracht Frankfurt in the Germany - Bundesliga on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heidenheim vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Eintracht Frankfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Heidenheim 35%, draw 23%, Eintracht Frankfurt 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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