Wolfsburg 2-3 Stuttgart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 2 Mar 2024

Wolfsburg
2-3 HT 0-1
Stuttgart
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Wolfsburg vs Stuttgart Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.74
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.25
6+ Goals
10%
11.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.52
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
24.85
1/X
5%
12.9
X/1
10%
6.64
X/2
15%
4.96
X/X
15%
4.84
2/1
9%
31.5
2/2
12%
3.0
2/X
10%
12.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.85 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.7pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.7pp
37%
Away Win
42%
-5.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.8pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wolfsburg v Stuttgart — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolfsburg EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Stuttgart EU Bookmakers 46%
+7% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -25%
1.56/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.16
-14% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -11%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 79%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
18.1 Crosses 17.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1

Wolfsburg vs Stuttgart Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolfsburg
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Stuttgart
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.39 xG 1.43
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
304 Passes 398
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Stuttgart Stuttgart 3-1 HT 0-1 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
18.03.2023 Stuttgart Stuttgart 0-1 HT 0-0 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
01.10.2022 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 3-2 HT 2-2 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
30.04.2022 Stuttgart Stuttgart 1-1 HT 0-1 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
11.12.2021 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 0-2 HT 0-1 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
21.04.2021 Stuttgart Stuttgart 1-3 HT 0-2 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1

Wolfsburg 2-3 Stuttgart — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolfsburg
2-3
AWAY Stuttgart
0.86 xG 1.14
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
315 Passes 498
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wolfsburg vs Stuttgart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stuttgart edged past Wolfsburg 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Stuttgart found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Wolfsburg had 41% of the ball to Stuttgart's 59%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 0.86 to 1.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wolfsburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Wolfsburg and 1.50 for Stuttgart.

What was the final score of Wolfsburg vs Stuttgart?

Wolfsburg 2-3 Stuttgart in the Germany - Bundesliga on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolfsburg vs Stuttgart?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stuttgart win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Wolfsburg 33%, draw 30%, Stuttgart 37%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stuttgart), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stuttgart) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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