Bochum 1-4 RB Leipzig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 2 Mar 2024

Bochum
1-4 HT 1-1
RB Leipzig
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Bochum vs RB Leipzig Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.87
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
43%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.46
2-3 Goals
39%
2.01
4-5 Goals
26%
2.66
6+ Goals
13%
6.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.51
1/2
9%
19.7
1/X
6%
14.6
X/1
14%
9.86
X/2
10%
4.25
X/X
9%
6.46
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.08
2/X
6%
14.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 9% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
23%
+13.0pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.6pp
43%
Away Win
55%
-12.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.7pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bochum v RB Leipzig — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bochum EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY RB Leipzig EU Bookmakers 59%
+21% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -13%
1.23/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/0.99
+15% / +83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +8%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
276 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 77%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.8
18.1 Crosses 16.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8

Bochum vs RB Leipzig Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bochum
1W-1D-4L
AWAY RB Leipzig
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.68 xG 2.60
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
235 Passes 476
70% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.10.2023 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 0-0 HT 0-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
18.03.2023 Bochum Bochum 1-0 HT 0-0 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL1
01.10.2022 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 4-0 HT 2-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
27.02.2022 Bochum Bochum 0-1 HT 0-0 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL1
02.10.2021 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 3-0 HT 0-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
03.02.2021 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 4-0 HT 2-0 Bochum Bochum AFK

Bochum 1-4 RB Leipzig — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bochum
1-4
AWAY RB Leipzig
0.83 xG 2.13
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
208 Passes 344
60% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bochum vs RB Leipzig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RB Leipzig swept aside Bochum 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had RB Leipzig as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bochum had 43% of the ball to RB Leipzig's 57%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 0.83 to 2.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, RB Leipzig led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Bochum and 2.00 for RB Leipzig.

What was the final score of Bochum vs RB Leipzig?

Bochum 1-4 RB Leipzig in the Germany - Bundesliga on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bochum vs RB Leipzig?

Before kick-off our model rated an RB Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bochum 36%, draw 22%, RB Leipzig 43%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RB Leipzig), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (RB Leipzig) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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