Köln vs Paderborn Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Köln v Paderborn — Team-Based Signals
Köln vs Paderborn Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-2
Köln
AL1
3-0
HT 1-0
Paderborn
AL1
3-2
HT 0-1
Köln
AL2
3-5
HT 1-1
Paderborn
AL2
0-0
HT 0-0
Paderborn
AL1
0-0
HT 0-0
Köln
AL1
Köln 1-2 Paderborn — Actual Match Statistics
Paderborn squeezed past Köln 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Köln at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Köln had 41% of the ball to Paderborn's 59%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.89 to 2.04.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Köln and 1.50 for Paderborn.
What was the final score of Köln vs Paderborn?
Köln 1-2 Paderborn in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Köln vs Paderborn?
Before kick-off our model rated a Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Köln 50%, draw 26%, Paderborn 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Köln) went the other way.