Ingolstadt vs Borussia Dortmund II Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ingolstadt v Borussia Dortmund II — Team-Based Signals
Ingolstadt vs Borussia Dortmund II Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Borussia Dortmund II
AL3
1-2
HT 0-2
Borussia Dortmund II
AL3
0-4
HT 0-2
Ingolstadt
AL3
Ingolstadt 5-3 Borussia Dortmund II — Actual Match Statistics
Ingolstadt beat Borussia Dortmund II 5-3. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Ingolstadt as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Ingolstadt had 57% of the ball to Borussia Dortmund II's 43%, shots finished 26-17.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Ingolstadt and 1.00 for Borussia Dortmund II.
What was the final score of Ingolstadt vs Borussia Dortmund II?
Ingolstadt 5-3 Borussia Dortmund II in the Germany - 3rd Division on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ingolstadt vs Borussia Dortmund II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ingolstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ingolstadt 43%, draw 24%, Borussia Dortmund II 33%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ingolstadt), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.