Köln II 1-1 MSV Duisburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 25 Oct 2024

Köln II
1-1 HT 0-1
MSV Duisburg
📅25/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

Köln II vs MSV Duisburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
34%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
31%
+7.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
34%
Away Win
44%
-9.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.8pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Köln II v MSV Duisburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Köln II EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY MSV Duisburg EU Bookmakers 48%
+12% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.58/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.00
+14% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / –
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
200 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Köln II vs MSV Duisburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Köln II and MSV Duisburg couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Köln II vs MSV Duisburg?

Köln II 1-1 MSV Duisburg in the Germany - Regional League on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Köln II vs MSV Duisburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Köln II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Köln II 38%, draw 29%, MSV Duisburg 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Köln II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Köln II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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