Barracas Central 1-1 Estudiantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 25 Oct 2024

Barracas Central
1-1 HT 0-0
Estudiantes
📅25/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Barracas Central vs Estudiantes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
47%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.48
Over 2.5
47%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.27
No
51%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
5.82
6+ Goals
11%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.0
1/2
10%
32.5
1/X
8%
16.4
X/1
10%
7.78
X/2
13%
3.94
X/X
11%
3.63
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.72
2/X
7%
15.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+3.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.5pp
47%
Away Win
48%
-1.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
64%
-10.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
36%
+10.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.1pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Barracas Central v Estudiantes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barracas Central EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 52%
+17% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.07/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.59
+9% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +0%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
264 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 78%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
16.4 Crosses 20.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9

Barracas Central vs Estudiantes Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barracas Central
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Estudiantes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.40
1.20 xG 2.34
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
274 Passes 343
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.04.2024 Estudiantes Estudiantes 3-0 HT 1-0 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
03.06.2023 Estudiantes Estudiantes 5-2 HT 3-1 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
11.05.2023 Barracas Central Barracas Central 1-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJK
21.07.2022 Estudiantes Estudiantes 3-1 HT 1-1 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
17.04.2022 Barracas Central Barracas Central 1-6 HT 1-4 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ

Barracas Central 1-1 Estudiantes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barracas Central
1-1
AWAY Estudiantes
1.10 xG 1.05
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
208 Passes 416
67% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Barracas Central vs Estudiantes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barracas Central and Estudiantes couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Estudiantes at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Barracas Central had 38% of the ball to Estudiantes's 62%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.10 to 1.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Estudiantes led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Barracas Central and 3.40 for Estudiantes.

What was the final score of Barracas Central vs Estudiantes?

Barracas Central 1-1 Estudiantes in the Argentina - Premier League on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barracas Central vs Estudiantes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Estudiantes win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Barracas Central 27%, draw 26%, Estudiantes 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Estudiantes), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estudiantes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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