Al Wahda 3-1 Al Ittihad Kalba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.33
Over 2.5
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.88
2-3 Goals
38%
1.94
4-5 Goals
26%
2.8
6+ Goals
12%
7.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.7pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.0pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.0pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wahda EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ittihad Kalba EU Bookmakers 27%
-6% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -15%
1.37/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.98
+0% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -26%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
367 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 78%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
21.1 Crosses 13.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wahda
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Ittihad Kalba
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.86 xG 1.36
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
386 Passes 221
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.04.2024 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
27.10.2023 Al Wahda Al Wahda 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
05.02.2023 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 0-2 HT 0-2 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
26.11.2022 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 1-5 HT 1-1 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAELK
11.10.2022 Al Wahda Al Wahda 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAELK
10.09.2022 Al Wahda Al Wahda 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wahda
3-1
AWAY Al Ittihad Kalba
1.42 xG 0.46
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
438 Passes 233
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 8
18 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Wahda vs Al Ittihad Kalba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wahda beat Al Ittihad Kalba 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Wahda as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Wahda had 62% of the ball to Al Ittihad Kalba's 38%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 1.42 to 0.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Wahda had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Wahda and 0.83 for Al Ittihad Kalba.

What was the final score of Al Wahda vs Al Ittihad Kalba?

Al Wahda 3-1 Al Ittihad Kalba in the UAE - League on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wahda vs Al Ittihad Kalba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Wahda win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Wahda 48%, draw 26%, Al Ittihad Kalba 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Wahda), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Wahda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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