Nacional Potosi 3-0 Guabira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.28
Draw
23%
5.15
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.59
Over 2.5
52%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
74%
-12.7pp
23%
Draw
16%
+6.7pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+6.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
35%
+13.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
65%
-13.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.7pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Guabira EU Bookmakers 12%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -12%
1.98/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.88
+30% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -4%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
401 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 200 · 71%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.2
24.3 Crosses 12.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional Potosi
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Guabira
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.95 xG 1.40
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
356 Passes 224
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2024 Guabira Guabira 1-1 HT 1-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
26.11.2023 Guabira Guabira 6-1 HT 4-1 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
29.05.2023 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 6-0 HT 3-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
05.10.2022 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 3-1 HT 1-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
29.04.2022 Guabira Guabira 1-2 HT 0-1 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
25.02.2022 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 3-1 HT 2-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Potosi
3-0
AWAY Guabira
2.61 xG 0.04
68% Ball Possession 32%
26 Total Shots 1
7 Shots on Target 0
12 Corners 0
389 Passes 148
87% Pass Accuracy 66%
41 Box Touches 4
35 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nacional Potosi vs Guabira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Potosi cruised past Guabira 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nacional Potosi as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Nacional Potosi had 68% of the ball to Guabira's 32%, shots finished 26-1, expected goals 2.61 to 0.04.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional Potosi had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Nacional Potosi and 1.67 for Guabira.

What was the final score of Nacional Potosi vs Guabira?

Nacional Potosi 3-0 Guabira in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Potosi vs Guabira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Potosi win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Nacional Potosi 61%, draw 23%, Guabira 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional Potosi), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nacional Potosi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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