Guabira 1-1 Nacional Potosi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
20%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
54%
+2.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
20%
Away Win
22%
-1.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.0pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guabira EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 25%
+1% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.62/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.29
+10% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
269 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 76%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
22.0 Crosses 17.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guabira
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Nacional Potosi
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.27 xG 2.13
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
238 Passes 372
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2023 Guabira Guabira 6-1 HT 4-1 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
29.05.2023 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 6-0 HT 3-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
05.10.2022 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 3-1 HT 1-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
29.04.2022 Guabira Guabira 1-2 HT 0-1 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
25.02.2022 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 3-1 HT 2-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
18.10.2021 Guabira Guabira 3-2 HT 1-1 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guabira
1-1
AWAY Nacional Potosi
2.05 xG 1.04
40% Ball Possession 60%
17 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
156 Passes 280
65% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Guabira vs Nacional Potosi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guabira and Nacional Potosi couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Guabira at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Guabira had 40% of the ball to Nacional Potosi's 60%, shots finished 17-17, expected goals 2.05 to 1.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional Potosi led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Guabira and 2.83 for Nacional Potosi.

What was the final score of Guabira vs Nacional Potosi?

Guabira 1-1 Nacional Potosi in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guabira vs Nacional Potosi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guabira win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Guabira 56%, draw 24%, Nacional Potosi 20%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Guabira) ✗ Over 2.5
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