Bolivar 4-0 Santa Cruz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.16
Draw
19%
7.78
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
3.17
Over 2.5
58%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.67
No
53%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
82%
-16.3pp
19%
Draw
10%
+8.3pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+8.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
28%
+13.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
72%
-13.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
33%
+13.8pp
53%
BTTS No
67%
-13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bolivar EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Cruz EU Bookmakers 9%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +6%
2.03/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.81
+28% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +8%
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
345 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 73%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.8
21.2 Crosses 10.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bolivar
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Santa Cruz
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.59 xG 1.03
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
382 Passes 166
86% Pass Accuracy 68%
26 Box Touches 5
25 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.12.2023 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 3-1 HT 1-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
26.06.2023 Bolivar Bolivar 3-0 HT 2-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
25.10.2021 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 0-3 HT 0-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
12.07.2021 Bolivar Bolivar 1-1 HT 0-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
23.12.2020 Bolivar Bolivar 4-0 HT 2-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
27.02.2020 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 2-4 HT 1-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bolivar
4-0
AWAY Santa Cruz
2.94 xG 0.39
67% Ball Possession 33%
23 Total Shots 10
14 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
401 Passes 151
87% Pass Accuracy 68%
46 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bolivar vs Santa Cruz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolivar cruised past Santa Cruz 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bolivar as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Bolivar had 67% of the ball to Santa Cruz's 33%, shots finished 23-10, expected goals 2.94 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolivar had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Bolivar and 1.00 for Santa Cruz.

What was the final score of Bolivar vs Santa Cruz?

Bolivar 4-0 Santa Cruz in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bolivar vs Santa Cruz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bolivar win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Bolivar 66%, draw 19%, Santa Cruz 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolivar), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bolivar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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