Deportivo Cuenca 0-2 Independiente Del Valle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 25 Oct 2024

Deportivo Cuenca
0-2 HT 0-1
Independiente Del Valle
📅25/10/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Deportivo Cuenca vs Independiente Del Valle Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.13
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
57%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.75
Over 2.5
55%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
24%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
21%
+2.3pp
20%
Draw
25%
-5.8pp
57%
Away Win
54%
+3.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
53%
-8.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
47%
+8.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo Cuenca v Independiente Del Valle — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cuenca EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 58%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.22/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.82
+25% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +50%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
275 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 81%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
17.0 Crosses 19.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7

Deportivo Cuenca vs Independiente Del Valle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.61 xG 1.14
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
198 Passes 420
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
8 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.05.2024 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
28.10.2023 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
20.05.2023 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-2 HT 0-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
03.09.2022 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 2-1 HT 0-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
20.04.2022 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
28.11.2021 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 HT 1-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1

Deportivo Cuenca 0-2 Independiente Del Valle — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
0-2
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
1.20 xG 1.78
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 6
379 Passes 270
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 22
26 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Cuenca vs Independiente Del Valle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Del Valle beat Deportivo Cuenca 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Independiente Del Valle as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Cuenca had 59% of the ball to Independiente Del Valle's 41%, shots finished 14-21, expected goals 1.20 to 1.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Deportivo Cuenca and 1.50 for Independiente Del Valle.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cuenca vs Independiente Del Valle?

Deportivo Cuenca 0-2 Independiente Del Valle in the Ecuador - Premier on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cuenca vs Independiente Del Valle?

Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cuenca 23%, draw 20%, Independiente Del Valle 57%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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