Rennes 1-0 Le Havre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.34
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.54
6+ Goals
10%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 28% vs market 24.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1.91
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.15
X/1
27%
3.59
X/2
8%
11.9
X/X
12%
5.42
2/1
9%
24.0
2/2
7%
9.86
2/X
7%
18.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-6.5pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.1pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rennes EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Havre EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
1.92/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.71
+15% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +35%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
407 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
17.5 Crosses 14.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rennes
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Le Havre
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.08 xG 0.76
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
510 Passes 360
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
34 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2024 Le Havre Le Havre 0-1 HT 0-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
27.08.2023 Rennes Rennes 2-2 HT 2-1 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
08.07.2015 Rennes Rennes 1-2 HT 0-1 Le Havre Le Havre HAZ
07.02.2009 Le Havre Le Havre 1-0 HT 0-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
12.11.2008 Le Havre Le Havre 2-1 HT 1-1 Rennes Rennes FRLK
13.09.2008 Rennes Rennes 1-1 HT 1-1 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rennes
1-0
AWAY Le Havre
1.59 xG 0.45
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
14 Corners 0
464 Passes 284
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
40 Box Touches 12
32 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rennes vs Le Havre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rennes nicked a narrow win over Le Havre 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rennes as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Rennes had 61% of the ball to Le Havre's 39%, shots finished 20-5, expected goals 1.59 to 0.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Le Havre led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rennes and 1.33 for Le Havre.

What was the final score of Rennes vs Le Havre?

Rennes 1-0 Le Havre in the France - Ligue 1 on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rennes vs Le Havre?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rennes win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Rennes 54%, draw 26%, Le Havre 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rennes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rennes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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