Le Havre 0-1 Rennes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.58
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
4.47
6+ Goals
9%
23.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.42
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
8%
14.6
X/1
15%
6.7
X/2
8%
4.28
X/X
12%
4.06
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
25%
2.9
2/X
5%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
27%
+8.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.0pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Havre EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Rennes EU Bookmakers 49%
+9% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -19%
1.50/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.16
+134% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -1%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
312 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 82%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.6
12.6 Crosses 20.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Havre
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Rennes
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.40 xG 3.22
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
357 Passes 605
81% Pass Accuracy 89%
15 Box Touches 50
11 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
27.08.2023 Rennes Rennes 2-2 HT 2-1 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
08.07.2015 Rennes Rennes 1-2 HT 0-1 Le Havre Le Havre HAZ
07.02.2009 Le Havre Le Havre 1-0 HT 0-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
12.11.2008 Le Havre Le Havre 2-1 HT 1-1 Rennes Rennes FRLK
13.09.2008 Rennes Rennes 1-1 HT 1-1 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
12.04.2003 Le Havre Le Havre 0-1 HT 0-1 Rennes Rennes FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Le Havre
0-1
AWAY Rennes
1.11 xG 0.94
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
363 Passes 414
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 18
29 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Le Havre vs Rennes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rennes edged past Le Havre 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Rennes made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Le Havre had 49% of the ball to Rennes's 51%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.11 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Le Havre had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Le Havre and 1.00 for Rennes.

What was the final score of Le Havre vs Rennes?

Le Havre 0-1 Rennes in the France - Ligue 1 on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Havre vs Rennes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rennes win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Le Havre 35%, draw 25%, Rennes 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rennes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rennes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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