Nice vs Monaco Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nice v Monaco — Team-Based Signals
Nice vs Monaco Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Nice
FR1
0-3
HT 0-3
Nice
FR1
0-1
HT 0-0
Monaco
FR1
1-0
HT 1-0
Nice
FR1
2-2
HT 0-1
Monaco
FR1
0-2
HT 0-1
Monaco
FRK
Nice 2-3 Monaco — Actual Match Statistics
Monaco nicked a narrow win over Nice 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Nice at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Nice had 47% of the ball to Monaco's 53%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 2.14 to 1.73 — on chances, Nice could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monaco led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nice and 1.00 for Monaco.
What was the final score of Nice vs Monaco?
Nice 2-3 Monaco in the France - Ligue 1 on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nice vs Monaco?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nice win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Nice 45%, draw 27%, Monaco 28%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.