Lorient 2-0 Reims — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.5
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
42%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.36
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.44
6+ Goals
10%
13.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.96
1/2
6%
23.75
1/X
9%
14.3
X/1
11%
7.92
X/2
15%
4.2
X/X
12%
4.83
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
22%
2.45
2/X
7%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+4.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
42%
Away Win
49%
-7.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lorient EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Reims EU Bookmakers 54%
+13% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.94/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.15
+46% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +48%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 83%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
11.8 Crosses 16.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lorient
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Reims
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.82 xG 1.40
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
342 Passes 396
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Reims Reims 1-0 HT 0-0 Lorient Lorient FR1
01.02.2023 Reims Reims 4-2 HT 1-2 Lorient Lorient FR1
15.10.2022 Lorient Lorient 0-0 HT 0-0 Reims Reims FR1
01.05.2022 Lorient Lorient 1-2 HT 1-1 Reims Reims FR1
19.09.2021 Reims Reims 0-0 HT 0-0 Lorient Lorient FR1
06.02.2021 Lorient Lorient 1-0 HT 0-0 Reims Reims FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lorient
2-0
AWAY Reims
1.92 xG 1.21
39% Ball Possession 61%
17 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 7
293 Passes 472
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 37
6 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lorient vs Reims
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lorient saw off Reims 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Reims at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Lorient had 39% of the ball to Reims's 61%, shots finished 17-23, expected goals 1.92 to 1.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Reims led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Lorient and 1.17 for Reims.

What was the final score of Lorient vs Reims?

Lorient 2-0 Reims in the France - Ligue 1 on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lorient vs Reims?

Before kick-off our model rated an Reims win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lorient 29%, draw 28%, Reims 42%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Reims), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Reims) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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