Toulouse vs Nantes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Toulouse v Nantes — Team-Based Signals
Toulouse vs Nantes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
Toulouse
FR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Nantes
FR1
1-5
HT 0-4
Toulouse
FRK
3-1
HT 0-1
Toulouse
FR1
0-1
HT 0-0
Toulouse
FR1
1-2
HT 1-2
Nantes
FR1
Toulouse 1-2 Nantes — Actual Match Statistics
Nantes edged past Toulouse 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Toulouse at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Toulouse had 74% of the ball to Nantes's 26%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 1.02 to 0.38 — on chances, Toulouse could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Toulouse had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Toulouse and 1.17 for Nantes.
What was the final score of Toulouse vs Nantes?
Toulouse 1-2 Nantes in the France - Ligue 1 on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Toulouse vs Nantes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Toulouse win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Toulouse 46%, draw 27%, Nantes 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.