Clermont 1-1 Brest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.7
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
4.24
6+ Goals
10%
21.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.47
1/2
9%
27.5
1/X
12%
14.15
X/1
13%
6.91
X/2
8%
4.34
X/X
11%
4.11
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
25%
2.85
2/X
4%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+4.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Clermont EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Brest EU Bookmakers 49%
+2% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.27/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/0.71
-5% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +150%
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
291 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 431 · 83%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
16.8 Crosses 25.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Clermont
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Brest
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.82 xG 1.43
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
422 Passes 334
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2023 Brest Brest 3-0 HT 2-0 Clermont Clermont FR1
21.05.2023 Brest Brest 2-1 HT 1-1 Clermont Clermont FR1
23.10.2022 Clermont Clermont 1-3 HT 0-1 Brest Brest FR1
01.05.2022 Brest Brest 2-0 HT 0-0 Clermont Clermont FR1
19.09.2021 Clermont Clermont 1-1 HT 0-0 Brest Brest FR1
29.03.2019 Brest Brest 0-0 HT 0-0 Clermont Clermont FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Clermont
1-1
AWAY Brest
1.20 xG 1.54
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 4
295 Passes 364
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Clermont vs Brest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Clermont and Brest couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Brest at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Clermont had 46% of the ball to Brest's 54%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 1.20 to 1.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brest led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Clermont and 1.83 for Brest.

What was the final score of Clermont vs Brest?

Clermont 1-1 Brest in the France - Ligue 1 on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Clermont vs Brest?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brest win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Clermont 31%, draw 26%, Brest 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Brest), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brest) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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