ABD (K) 3-1 İzlanda (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 25 Oct 2024

ABD (K)
3-1 HT 1-0
İzlanda (K)
📅25/10/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2024

ABD (K) vs İzlanda (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.16
Draw
33%
6.26
Away
33%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.51
Over 2.5
50%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.51
No
50%
1.46
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
82%
-48.2pp
33%
Draw
13%
+20.4pp
33%
Away Win
6%
+27.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
36%
+13.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
64%
-13.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
36%
+14.3pp
50%
BTTS No
64%
-14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ABD (K) v İzlanda (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ABD (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY İzlanda (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.25/0.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.10/1.79
-8% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -42%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
37.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.0
20.7 Crosses 6.0
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH ABD (K) vs İzlanda (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ABD (K) saw off İzlanda (K) 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day ABD (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of ABD (K) vs İzlanda (K)?

ABD (K) 3-1 İzlanda (K) in the Friendlies on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ABD (K) vs İzlanda (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a ABD (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split ABD (K) 33%, draw 33%, İzlanda (K) 33%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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