Slaven Belupo vs Sibenik Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Slaven Belupo v Sibenik — Team-Based Signals
Slaven Belupo vs Sibenik Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Slaven Belupo
HIR
0-1
HT 0-1
Sibenik
HIR
0-2
HT 0-0
Slaven Belupo
HIR
0-0
HT 0-0
Sibenik
HIR
2-1
HT 2-0
Slaven Belupo
HIR
Slaven Belupo 2-2 Sibenik — Actual Match Statistics
Slaven Belupo and Sibenik couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Slaven Belupo at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Slaven Belupo had 52% of the ball to Sibenik's 48%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.94 to 1.69.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sibenik led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Slaven Belupo and 1.33 for Sibenik.
What was the final score of Slaven Belupo vs Sibenik?
Slaven Belupo 2-2 Sibenik in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Slaven Belupo vs Sibenik?
Before kick-off our model rated a Slaven Belupo win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Slaven Belupo 49%, draw 28%, Sibenik 23%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.