Mes Rafsanjan 1-1 Malavan FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.29
Draw
35%
3.04
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.05
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
16%
6.35
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
23%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
27%
-6.3pp
36%
Draw
29%
+6.1pp
44%
Away Win
44%
+0.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.5pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mes Rafsanjan EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Malavan FC EU Bookmakers 48%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-5% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mes Rafsanjan
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Malavan FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
24.05.2024 Malavan FC Malavan FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
18.12.2023 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 1-4 HT 0-2 Malavan FC Malavan FC IRAN
05.05.2023 Malavan FC Malavan FC 0-4 HT 0-2 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
24.12.2022 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 0-0 HT 0-0 Malavan FC Malavan FC IRAN
POST-MATCH Mes Rafsanjan vs Malavan FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mes Rafsanjan and Malavan FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Malavan FC at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Mes Rafsanjan had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mes Rafsanjan and 1.00 for Malavan FC.

What was the final score of Mes Rafsanjan vs Malavan FC?

Mes Rafsanjan 1-1 Malavan FC in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mes Rafsanjan vs Malavan FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Malavan FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mes Rafsanjan 21%, draw 36%, Malavan FC 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Malavan FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Malavan FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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