Malavan FC 0-1 Mes Rafsanjan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 24 May 2024

📅24/05/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.47
Draw
37%
2.88
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.16
2-3 Goals
32%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
5.83
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
37%
-7.1pp
37%
Draw
31%
+6.0pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+1.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.3pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malavan FC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Mes Rafsanjan EU Bookmakers 36%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +16%
0.99/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.59
+1% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +59%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
289 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malavan FC
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Mes Rafsanjan
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
18.12.2023 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 1-4 HT 0-2 Malavan FC Malavan FC IRAN
05.05.2023 Malavan FC Malavan FC 0-4 HT 0-2 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
24.12.2022 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 0-0 HT 0-0 Malavan FC Malavan FC IRAN
POST-MATCH Malavan FC vs Mes Rafsanjan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mes Rafsanjan squeezed past Malavan FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (30% / 37% / 33%) promised a tight game; Mes Rafsanjan found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Malavan FC and 1.67 for Mes Rafsanjan.

What was the final score of Malavan FC vs Mes Rafsanjan?

Malavan FC 0-1 Mes Rafsanjan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 24/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malavan FC vs Mes Rafsanjan?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Malavan FC 30%, draw 37%, Mes Rafsanjan 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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