Gol Gohar Sirjan 2-3 Aluminium Arak — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 24 May 2024

📅24/05/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.44
Over 2.5
36%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.05
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
16%
6.35
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
10%
1/X
12%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.8pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.0pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
66%
-1.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
34%
+1.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.8pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gol Gohar Sirjan EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminium Arak EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.42/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/0.98
+24% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gol Gohar Sirjan
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Aluminium Arak
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
19.12.2023 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 0-0 HT 0-0 Gol Gohar Sirjan Gol Gohar Sirjan IRAN
06.05.2023 Gol Gohar Sirjan Gol Gohar Sirjan 0-1 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
09.05.2022 Gol Gohar Sirjan Gol Gohar Sirjan 2-0 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
24.12.2021 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 0-0 HT 0-0 Gol Gohar Sirjan Gol Gohar Sirjan IRAN
15.07.2021 Gol Gohar Sirjan Gol Gohar Sirjan 3-1 HT 0-1 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRANK
06.07.2021 Gol Gohar Sirjan Gol Gohar Sirjan 2-1 HT 1-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
POST-MATCH Gol Gohar Sirjan vs Aluminium Arak
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aluminium Arak edged past Gol Gohar Sirjan 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Gol Gohar Sirjan at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gol Gohar Sirjan had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gol Gohar Sirjan and 0.50 for Aluminium Arak.

What was the final score of Gol Gohar Sirjan vs Aluminium Arak?

Gol Gohar Sirjan 2-3 Aluminium Arak in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 24/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gol Gohar Sirjan vs Aluminium Arak?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gol Gohar Sirjan win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gol Gohar Sirjan 43%, draw 29%, Aluminium Arak 28%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gol Gohar Sirjan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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