Correcaminos UAT 0-3 CD Tapatio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
44%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+5.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.0pp
44%
Away Win
50%
-5.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.2pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Tapatio EU Bookmakers 54%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.53/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.61/2.61
+36% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +76% / -60%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Correcaminos UAT
0W-3D-3L
AWAY CD Tapatio
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
5 Corners 3
21.03.2024 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-2 HT 0-1 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
17.08.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 2-2 HT 0-2 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
21.01.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-2 HT 1-2 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
21.09.2022 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-0 HT 1-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
11.03.2022 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-0 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
28.10.2021 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 2-2 HT 2-1 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
POST-MATCH Correcaminos UAT vs CD Tapatio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Tapatio swept aside Correcaminos UAT 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CD Tapatio as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Tapatio led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Correcaminos UAT and 1.83 for CD Tapatio.

What was the final score of Correcaminos UAT vs CD Tapatio?

Correcaminos UAT 0-3 CD Tapatio in the Mexico - Primera A on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Correcaminos UAT vs CD Tapatio?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Tapatio win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Correcaminos UAT 31%, draw 25%, CD Tapatio 44%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Tapatio), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Tapatio) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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