CD Tapatio 2-2 Correcaminos UAT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 21 Mar 2024

📅21/03/2024 · 🕒02:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.3pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Tapatio EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -20%
1.16/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.69
-21% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
281 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Tapatio
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Correcaminos UAT
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
3 Corners 5
17.08.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 2-2 HT 0-2 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
21.01.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-2 HT 1-2 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
21.09.2022 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-0 HT 1-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
11.03.2022 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-0 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
28.10.2021 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 2-2 HT 2-1 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
24.03.2021 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-1 HT 1-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
POST-MATCH CD Tapatio vs Correcaminos UAT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Tapatio and Correcaminos UAT couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was CD Tapatio at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Tapatio had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for CD Tapatio and 1.00 for Correcaminos UAT.

What was the final score of CD Tapatio vs Correcaminos UAT?

CD Tapatio 2-2 Correcaminos UAT in the Mexico - Primera A on 21/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Tapatio vs Correcaminos UAT?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Tapatio win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CD Tapatio 42%, draw 27%, Correcaminos UAT 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CD Tapatio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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