Venados 0-0 Cimarrones de Sonora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 21 Mar 2024

📅21/03/2024 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.86
Over 2.5
55%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.76
No
41%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+3.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
50%
-5.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
50%
+5.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
53%
+6.2pp
41%
BTTS No
47%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venados EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Cimarrones de Sonora EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.71/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.45
+10% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venados
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Cimarrones de Sonora
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
29.10.2023 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora 4-1 HT 2-1 Venados Venados MEK2
15.02.2023 Venados Venados 1-0 HT 1-0 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora MEK2
13.10.2022 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora 1-1 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
27.03.2022 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora 1-1 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
01.09.2021 Venados Venados 2-0 HT 2-0 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora MEK2
03.02.2021 Venados Venados 2-2 HT 1-1 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora MEK2
POST-MATCH Venados vs Cimarrones de Sonora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venados and Cimarrones de Sonora fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Venados at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Venados had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Venados and 1.33 for Cimarrones de Sonora.

What was the final score of Venados vs Cimarrones de Sonora?

Venados 0-0 Cimarrones de Sonora in the Mexico - Primera A on 21/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venados vs Cimarrones de Sonora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Venados win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Venados 46%, draw 26%, Cimarrones de Sonora 28%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Venados) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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