Dorados De Sinaloa 1-2 Leones Negros Udeg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 21 Mar 2024

📅21/03/2024 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.34
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
53%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
41%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
16%
+6.2pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.2pp
53%
Away Win
61%
-8.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.0pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorados De Sinaloa EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 66%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+103% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
292 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorados De Sinaloa
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
15.09.2023 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 4-0 HT 3-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
21.04.2023 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 2-0 HT 1-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
29.09.2022 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 0-2 HT 0-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
31.01.2022 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 0-1 HT 0-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
13.08.2021 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 0-0 HT 0-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
29.01.2021 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 0-1 HT 0-1 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
POST-MATCH Dorados De Sinaloa vs Leones Negros Udeg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leones Negros Udeg squeezed past Dorados De Sinaloa 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Leones Negros Udeg as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leones Negros Udeg led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Dorados De Sinaloa and 1.50 for Leones Negros Udeg.

What was the final score of Dorados De Sinaloa vs Leones Negros Udeg?

Dorados De Sinaloa 1-2 Leones Negros Udeg in the Mexico - Primera A on 21/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorados De Sinaloa vs Leones Negros Udeg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leones Negros Udeg win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Dorados De Sinaloa 22%, draw 25%, Leones Negros Udeg 53%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK2 More Mexico - Primera A
21 Mar 2024
02:05 CD Tapatio vs Correcaminos UAT Analysis →
04:05 Venados vs Cimarrones de Sonora Analysis →