Olimpia Grudziadz 2-3 Wisla Pulawy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒20:23 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.42
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.47
6+ Goals
10%
13.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 31% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.0pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Wisla Pulawy EU Bookmakers 27%
-23% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
0.92/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.53
-43% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Wisla Pulawy
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 6
20.04.2024 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 1-0 HT 0-0 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy POL2
07.10.2023 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy 3-1 HT 2-1 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz
2-3
AWAY Wisla Pulawy
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Olimpia Grudziadz vs Wisla Pulawy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wisla Pulawy squeezed past Olimpia Grudziadz 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Olimpia Grudziadz at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Olimpia Grudziadz had 42% of the ball to Wisla Pulawy's 58%, shots finished 13-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Olimpia Grudziadz and 1.50 for Wisla Pulawy.

What was the final score of Olimpia Grudziadz vs Wisla Pulawy?

Olimpia Grudziadz 2-3 Wisla Pulawy in the Poland - 2nd Division on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpia Grudziadz vs Wisla Pulawy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpia Grudziadz win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Olimpia Grudziadz 47%, draw 25%, Wisla Pulawy 28%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Olimpia Grudziadz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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