Paços De Ferreira 1-1 Vizela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 25 Oct 2024

Paços De Ferreira
1-1 HT 0-1
Vizela
📅25/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Paços De Ferreira vs Vizela Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
41%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.74
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.27
6+ Goals
10%
21.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-3.3pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+5.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.1pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Paços De Ferreira v Vizela — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paços De Ferreira EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Vizela EU Bookmakers 40%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.28/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.43
-31% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +39%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.8 Crosses 18.9
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0

Paços De Ferreira vs Vizela Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paços De Ferreira
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Vizela
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.23 xG 2.01
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
282 Passes 313
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 24
27 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
27.07.2024 Vizela Vizela 2-0 HT 1-0 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira HAZ
29.04.2023 Vizela Vizela 1-2 HT 0-2 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR
13.11.2022 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 0-2 HT 0-0 Vizela Vizela POR
30.07.2022 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 1-2 HT 0-1 Vizela Vizela HAZ
19.02.2022 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 2-1 HT 1-1 Vizela Vizela POR
19.09.2021 Vizela Vizela 1-1 HT 1-0 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR

Paços De Ferreira 1-1 Vizela — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paços De Ferreira
1-1
AWAY Vizela
1.60 xG 0.53
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 8
236 Passes 384
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paços De Ferreira vs Vizela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paços De Ferreira and Vizela couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Vizela at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Paços De Ferreira had 41% of the ball to Vizela's 59%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.60 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vizela led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Paços De Ferreira and 1.50 for Vizela.

What was the final score of Paços De Ferreira vs Vizela?

Paços De Ferreira 1-1 Vizela in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paços De Ferreira vs Vizela?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vizela win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Paços De Ferreira 32%, draw 27%, Vizela 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vizela), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vizela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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