Vizela 2-0 Paços De Ferreira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 27 Jul 2024

Vizela
2-0 HT 1-0
Paços De Ferreira
📅27/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2024/2025

Vizela vs Paços De Ferreira Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.05
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.83
6+ Goals
11%
16.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 30% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-5.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.4pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vizela v Paços De Ferreira — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vizela EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Paços De Ferreira EU Bookmakers 37%
-52% / -52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.49
-100% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
323 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Vizela vs Paços De Ferreira Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vizela
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Paços De Ferreira
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
2.01 xG 1.23
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
313 Passes 282
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
29.04.2023 Vizela Vizela 1-2 HT 0-2 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR
13.11.2022 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 0-2 HT 0-0 Vizela Vizela POR
30.07.2022 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 1-2 HT 0-1 Vizela Vizela HAZ
19.02.2022 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 2-1 HT 1-1 Vizela Vizela POR
19.09.2021 Vizela Vizela 1-1 HT 1-0 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR

Vizela 2-0 Paços De Ferreira — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vizela
2-0
AWAY Paços De Ferreira
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Vizela vs Paços De Ferreira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vizela saw off Paços De Ferreira 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Vizela found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Vizela had 55% of the ball to Paços De Ferreira's 45%, shots finished 9-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Vizela and 1.20 for Paços De Ferreira.

What was the final score of Vizela vs Paços De Ferreira?

Vizela 2-0 Paços De Ferreira in the Friendlies on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vizela vs Paços De Ferreira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paços De Ferreira win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Vizela 35%, draw 29%, Paços De Ferreira 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Paços De Ferreira), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paços De Ferreira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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