Santa Clara 2-1 Gil Vicente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 25 Oct 2024

Santa Clara
2-1 HT 2-1
Gil Vicente
📅25/10/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2024/2025

Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.06
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
18%
6.28
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.99
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
11%
15.35
X/1
11%
4.12
X/2
8%
7.07
X/X
12%
3.43
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
13%
6.33
2/X
4%
16.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.6pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.1pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.4pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santa Clara v Gil Vicente — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Clara EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Gil Vicente EU Bookmakers 28%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.73/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.38
+21% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
18.2 Crosses 15.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5

Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Clara
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gil Vicente
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.20 xG 1.26
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
219 Passes 342
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.05.2023 Santa Clara Santa Clara 3-2 HT 2-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
29.12.2022 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-0 HT 1-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
06.02.2022 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 2-2 HT 1-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
29.08.2021 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-0 HT 1-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
20.02.2021 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-0 HT 0-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
03.10.2020 Santa Clara Santa Clara 0-0 HT 0-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR

Santa Clara 2-1 Gil Vicente — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Clara
2-1
AWAY Gil Vicente
1.50 xG 0.79
32% Ball Possession 68%
15 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
160 Passes 430
68% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Clara edged past Gil Vicente 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Santa Clara as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Santa Clara had 32% of the ball to Gil Vicente's 68%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.50 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Santa Clara and 1.00 for Gil Vicente.

What was the final score of Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente?

Santa Clara 2-1 Gil Vicente in the Portugal - Premier League on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Clara win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara 45%, draw 27%, Gil Vicente 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Clara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santa Clara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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