Krka 0-2 Bistrica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
35%
3.35
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.03
Over 2.5
43%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
22%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-4.0pp
35%
Draw
26%
+8.6pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-4.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
45%
+11.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
55%
-11.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.0pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krka EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Bistrica EU Bookmakers 38%
+7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.88/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.42
+22% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
293 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krka
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Bistrica
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Bistrica Bistrica 3-0 HT 1-0 Krka Krka SLVN2
20.08.2023 Krka Krka 1-2 HT 0-1 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
12.03.2023 Bistrica Bistrica 0-1 HT 0-0 Krka Krka SLVN2
26.08.2022 Krka Krka 1-0 HT 0-0 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
POST-MATCH Krka vs Bistrica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bistrica beat Krka 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 35% / 30% — and on the day Bistrica made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Krka and 1.25 for Bistrica.

What was the final score of Krka vs Bistrica?

Krka 0-2 Bistrica in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krka vs Bistrica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Krka win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Krka 35%, draw 35%, Bistrica 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/35/30) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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