Vipers 2-1 Uganda Police — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 25 Oct 2024

Vipers
2-1 HT 1-1
Uganda Police
📅25/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Uganda - Premier League – 2025/2026

Vipers vs Uganda Police Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.32
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.33
No
55%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
71%
-12.5pp
24%
Draw
18%
+5.4pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
39%
+6.6pp
55%
BTTS No
61%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vipers v Uganda Police — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vipers EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Uganda Police EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
2.14/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/0.62
+22% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +150%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
427 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5

Vipers vs Uganda Police Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vipers
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Uganda Police
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
17.10.2021 Uganda Police Uganda Police 0-2 HT 0-1 Vipers Vipers UGA

Vipers 2-1 Uganda Police — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vipers
2-1
AWAY Uganda Police
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vipers vs Uganda Police
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vipers nicked a narrow win over Uganda Police 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vipers as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vipers had 57% of the ball to Uganda Police's 43%, shots finished 17-5.

What was the final score of Vipers vs Uganda Police?

Vipers 2-1 Uganda Police in the Uganda - Premier League on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vipers vs Uganda Police?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vipers win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Vipers 59%, draw 24%, Uganda Police 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vipers) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vipers) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UGA More Uganda - Premier League
25 Oct 2024
16:00 Kitara vs BUL Analysis →