Rukh Vynnyky 1-1 Chornomorets Odessa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
55%
-11.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
30%
Away Win
18%
+11.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.3pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rukh Vynnyky EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
1.56/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.28
-4% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rukh Vynnyky
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky 2-0 HT 1-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
12.11.2023 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 2-3 HT 1-1 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky UKR
29.05.2023 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 1-3 HT 1-2 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky UKR
07.12.2022 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky 2-2 HT 0-2 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
06.11.2021 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 4-3 HT 2-0 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rukh Vynnyky
1-1
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa
10 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rukh Vynnyky vs Chornomorets Odessa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rukh Vynnyky and Chornomorets Odessa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Rukh Vynnyky at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, shots finished 10-4.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Rukh Vynnyky had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Rukh Vynnyky and 1.80 for Chornomorets Odessa.

What was the final score of Rukh Vynnyky vs Chornomorets Odessa?

Rukh Vynnyky 1-1 Chornomorets Odessa in the Ukraine - Premier League on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rukh Vynnyky vs Chornomorets Odessa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rukh Vynnyky win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rukh Vynnyky 43%, draw 27%, Chornomorets Odessa 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rukh Vynnyky), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rukh Vynnyky) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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