Rukh Vynnyky 2-0 Chornomorets Odessa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
14%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.6pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.0pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.6pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rukh Vynnyky EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa EU Bookmakers 27%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +20%
1.11/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.24
-34% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
379 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rukh Vynnyky
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 2-3 HT 1-1 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky UKR
29.05.2023 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 1-3 HT 1-2 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky UKR
07.12.2022 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky 2-2 HT 0-2 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
06.11.2021 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 4-3 HT 2-0 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky UKR
POST-MATCH Rukh Vynnyky vs Chornomorets Odessa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rukh Vynnyky beat Chornomorets Odessa 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rukh Vynnyky as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Rukh Vynnyky had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Rukh Vynnyky and 2.25 for Chornomorets Odessa.

What was the final score of Rukh Vynnyky vs Chornomorets Odessa?

Rukh Vynnyky 2-0 Chornomorets Odessa in the Ukraine - Premier League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rukh Vynnyky vs Chornomorets Odessa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rukh Vynnyky win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Rukh Vynnyky 49%, draw 21%, Chornomorets Odessa 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rukh Vynnyky) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rukh Vynnyky) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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