Livyi Bereh 1-1 Shakhtar Donetsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.99
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
30%
-3.7pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.6pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-1.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Livyi Bereh EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 48%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
0.87/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.15
-13% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
268 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Livyi Bereh
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
12.11.2023 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 1-3 HT 1-1 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh UKR
28.05.2023 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 3-0 HT 1-0 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh UKR
19.11.2022 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh 2-1 HT 1-1 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
11.09.2021 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 2-0 HT 1-0 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh UKR
01.05.2021 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 2-1 HT 2-0 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh UKR
28.11.2020 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh 0-1 HT 0-0 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
POST-MATCH Livyi Bereh vs Shakhtar Donetsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Livyi Bereh and Shakhtar Donetsk shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Shakhtar Donetsk at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shakhtar Donetsk led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Livyi Bereh and 1.67 for Shakhtar Donetsk.

What was the final score of Livyi Bereh vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Livyi Bereh 1-1 Shakhtar Donetsk in the Ukraine - Premier League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Livyi Bereh vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Livyi Bereh 26%, draw 32%, Shakhtar Donetsk 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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