Vorskla Poltava 3-1 Obolon Kyiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 19 May 2024

Vorskla Poltava
3-1 HT 2-0
Obolon Kyiv
📅19/05/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Ukraine - Premier League – 2023/2024

Vorskla Poltava vs Obolon Kyiv Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.9pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.7pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vorskla Poltava v Obolon Kyiv — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vorskla Poltava EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Obolon Kyiv EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.00/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/1.82
-15% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / -40%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards –

Vorskla Poltava vs Obolon Kyiv Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vorskla Poltava
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Obolon Kyiv
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv 0-1 HT 0-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
POST-MATCH Vorskla Poltava vs Obolon Kyiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vorskla Poltava beat Obolon Kyiv 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vorskla Poltava as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Vorskla Poltava vs Obolon Kyiv?

Vorskla Poltava 3-1 Obolon Kyiv in the Ukraine - Premier League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vorskla Poltava vs Obolon Kyiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vorskla Poltava win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vorskla Poltava 41%, draw 26%, Obolon Kyiv 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vorskla Poltava) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vorskla Poltava) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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