AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Burton Albion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.32
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.66
6+ Goals
10%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.86
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
9%
14.1
X/1
13%
4.45
X/2
11%
7.42
X/X
13%
3.88
2/1
13%
30.0
2/2
10%
6.25
2/X
6%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+1.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.8pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Wimbledon EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Burton Albion EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
1.65/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.31
+4% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
280 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 196 · 63%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
21.8 Crosses 14.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Wimbledon
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Burton Albion
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.80 xG 1.27
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
227 Passes 259
63% Pass Accuracy 65%
15 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.01.2022 Burton Albion Burton Albion 1-1 HT 0-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN1
02.10.2021 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 1-1 HT 0-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
09.03.2021 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 0-1 HT 0-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
24.10.2020 Burton Albion Burton Albion 1-1 HT 0-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN1
28.01.2020 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 2-2 HT 1-2 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
22.10.2019 Burton Albion Burton Albion 1-0 HT 1-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Wimbledon
0-1
AWAY Burton Albion
1.27 xG 0.90
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
320 Passes 181
75% Pass Accuracy 61%
24 Box Touches 27
34 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH AFC Wimbledon vs Burton Albion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burton Albion squeezed past AFC Wimbledon 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Wimbledon at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, AFC Wimbledon had 60% of the ball to Burton Albion's 40%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.27 to 0.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burton Albion led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for AFC Wimbledon and 1.17 for Burton Albion.

What was the final score of AFC Wimbledon vs Burton Albion?

AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Burton Albion in the England - 1st Division on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Wimbledon vs Burton Albion?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Wimbledon win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split AFC Wimbledon 46%, draw 27%, Burton Albion 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (AFC Wimbledon), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Wimbledon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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