Bolton Wanderers vs Cardiff City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bolton Wanderers v Cardiff City — Team-Based Signals
Bolton Wanderers vs Cardiff City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Bolton Wanderers
İNCL
2-0
HT 0-0
Cardiff City
İNCL
2-1
HT 0-1
Bolton Wanderers
İNCL
2-3
HT 1-1
Cardiff City
İNCL
0-3
HT 0-0
Bolton Wanderers
İNCL
3-0
HT 2-0
Cardiff City
İNCL
Bolton Wanderers 1-0 Cardiff City — Actual Match Statistics
Bolton Wanderers nicked a narrow win over Cardiff City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Bolton Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Bolton Wanderers had 38% of the ball to Cardiff City's 62%, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 0.88 to 0.24.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Bolton Wanderers and 1.17 for Cardiff City.
What was the final score of Bolton Wanderers vs Cardiff City?
Bolton Wanderers 1-0 Cardiff City in the England - 1st Division on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bolton Wanderers vs Cardiff City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bolton Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bolton Wanderers 45%, draw 27%, Cardiff City 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolton Wanderers), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.